Evaluating probabilistic dengue risk forecasts from a prototype early warning system for Brazil
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Evaluating probabilistic dengue risk forecasts from a prototype early warning system for Brazil
Recently, a prototype dengue early warning system was developed to produce probabilistic forecasts of dengue risk three months ahead of the 2014 World Cup in Brazil. Here, we evaluate the categorical dengue forecasts across all microregions in Brazil, using dengue cases reported in June 2014 to validate the model. We also compare the forecast model framework to a null model, based on seasonal a...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: eLife
سال: 2016
ISSN: 2050-084X
DOI: 10.7554/elife.11285